This is a sample output for linear regression:
The F Value is computed by dividing the value in the Mean Square column for Model with the value in the Mean Square column for Error. In our example, it’s .
There are two possible interpretations for the F Value in the Analysis of Variance table for the linear regression.
Continue reading “The meaning of F Value in the Analysis of Variance for Linear regression”
Statistical hypothesis testing is really an interesting topic. I’ll just briefly sum up what statistical hypothesis testing is about, and what you do to test an hypothesis, but will assume you are already familiar with it, so that I can quickly cover a couple of A-HAs moments I had.
In statistical hypothesis testing, we
- have some data, whatever it is, which we imagine as being values of some random variable;
- make an hypothesis about the data, such as that the expected value of the random variable is ;
- find a distribution for any affine transformation of the random variable we are making inference about – this is the test statistic;
- run the test, i.e. numerically say how much probable how observations were in relation to the hypothesis we made.
I had a couple of A-HA moments I’d like to share.
There is a reason why this is called hypothesis testing and not hypothesis choice. There are indeed two hypothesis, the null and the alternative hypothesis. However, their roles are widely different! 90% of what we do, both from a conceptual and a numerical point of view, has to do with the null hypothesis. They really are not symmetric. The question we are asking is “With the data I have, am I certain enough my null hypothesis no longer stands?” not at all “With the data I have, which of the two hypothesis is better?”
Continue reading “On the meaning of hypothesis and p-value in statistical hypothesis testing”
I read in several books and online pages that hash tables should use a prime number for the size. Nobody really justified this statement properly. Here’s my attempt!
I believe that it just has to do with the fact that computers work with in base 2. Just think at how the same thing works for base 10:
- 8 % 10 = 8
- 18 % 10 = 8
- 87865378 % 10 = 8
- 2387762348 % 10 = 8
It doesn’t matter what the number is: as long as it ends with 8, its modulo 10 will be 8. You could pick a huge power of 10 as modulo operator, such as 10^k (with k > 10, let’s say), but
- you would need a huge table to store the values
- the hash function is still pretty stupid: it just trims the number retaining only the first k digits starting from the right.
However, if you pick a different number as modulo operator, such as 12, then things are different:
- 8 % 12 = 8
- 18 % 12 = 6
- 87865378 % 12 = 10
- 2387762348 % 12 = 8
We still have a collision, but the pattern becomes more complicated, and the collision is just due to the fact that 12 is still a small number.
Picking a big enough, non-power-of-two number will make sure the hash function really is a function of all the input bits, rather than a subset of them.
Continue reading “Why hash tables should use a prime-number size”
I realized geometric distribution is not exactly about the time needed to get the first success in a given number of trials. This is a very odd feeling. It is probably a feeling applied mathematicians get sometimes, when they feel they are doing the best they can, and yet the theory is not perfect.
This may be a naive post, I warn you, but I was really stunned when I realized this.
Geometric distribution is not about the first success
Let’s jump to the point. We know (or at least, I was taught) that geometric distribution is used to calculate the probability that the first success in trials (all independent and of probability ) will happen precisely at the -th trial.
Remember that a geometric distribution is a random variable such that its distribution is
How can we relate the above distribution with the fact that it matches the first success? Well, we need to have one success, which explains the at the bottom. Moreover, we want to have just one success, so all other trials must be unsuccessful, which explains the .
But hey, where would first ever be written? Continue reading “Metaphysics on geometric distribution in probability theory”
This article aims at providing some intuition for what random variables are and why random variables are useful and needed in probability theory.
Intuition for random variables
Informally speaking, random variables encode questions about the world in a numerical way.
How many heads can I get if I flip a coin 3 times?
How many people will vote the Democrats at the US presidential elections?
I want to make pizza. What is the possible overall cost of the ingredients, considering all combinations of different brands of them?
These are all examples of random variables. What a random variable does, in plain words, is to take a set of possible world configurations and group them to a number. What I mean when I say world configurations will be clearer soon, when talking about the sample space (which, appropriately, is also called universe).
Continue reading “Random variables: what are they and why are they needed?”
This post aims at providing some intuition and meaning for the following algebra relationship:
Reduced ring – Radical ideal – Nilpotent
Reduced ring – Radical ideal – Nilpotent
A basic fact of ring theory is that if you take a ring and quotient it for a (double-sided) radical ideal you get a reduced ring. Let us suppose A is a commutative ring and understand why this fact is true.
Def. is nilpotent
Informally, a nilpotent element is like a road ending in the middle of nowhere, collapsing in the depth of an abyss. You are driving on it, following the powers of , and then all of a sudden, with no explanation, your road ends in a big black hole. Indeed, the zero really acts as some kind of black hole, attracting nilpotent-made roads at some point or another: we can think of nilpotent roads as spiraling into the zero.
Continue reading “Relationship between reduced rings, radical ideals and nilpotent elements”
This article aims at providing real world examples and links for overdetermined and undetermined systems of equations. Before starting, we will suppose that all over and underdetermined systems are obtained from square systems which admit one and only one solution (i.e. comes from a coefficient matrix with non zero determinant).
When a system of linear equations has more equations than unknowns, we say it is overdetermined. It means what it says: too many rules at once are being imposed, and some of them may be conflicting. Still, it is false to say that an overdetermined system does not have any solutions: it may or it may not.
Intuitively, we can think of a system of equations as a set of requests. Imagine you have a group of people in front of you (the unknowns), and you are supposed to give each person something specific to do. If you give more commands than the number of people, then we have an overdetermined system. It is clear that when this happens, at least one person must have received more than one command. However, there are two possible scenarios.
Continue reading “Overdetermined and underdetermined systems of equations put simply”
In linear algebra it is sometimes needed to find the equation of the line of shortest distance for two skew lines. What follows is a very quick method of finding that line.
Let’s consider an example. Start with two simple skew lines:
(Observation: don’t make the mistake of using the same parameter for both lines. Each lines exist on its own, there’s no link between them, so there’s no reason why they should should be described by the same parameter. If this doesn’t seem convincing, get two lines you know to be intersecting, use the same parameter for both and try to find the intersection point.)
The directional vectors are:
So they clearly aren’t parallel. They aren’t incidental as well, because the only possible intersection point is for , but when , is at , which doesn’t belong to . It does indeed make sense to look for the line of shortest distance between the two, confident that we will find a non-zero result.
Continue reading “Quick method to find line of shortest distance for skew lines”